Macroeconomic Outlook for Next Week: The US-Iran ceasefire agreement enters a critical window; can the PCE break the gold price slump?

PANews, May 24th - Over the past five trading days, market participants have experienced rollercoaster-like emotional swings, navigating through extreme panic and sudden euphoria. Here are the key points to watch in the market for the new week (all times are Beijing time):

  • At 09:30 on Wednesday, Australia's April unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate will be released.
  • At 16:00 on Wednesday, the Swiss ZEW Investor Confidence Index for May will be released.
  • At 20:15 on Wednesday, the ADP employment change for the week ending May 9 in the United States will be released.
  • At 04:30 on Thursday, the API crude oil inventory data for the week ending May 22 will be released.
  • At 17:00 on Thursday, the Eurozone May Industrial Sentiment Index and the Eurozone May Economic Sentiment Index will be released.
  • The European Central Bank will release the minutes of its April monetary policy meeting at 19:30 on Thursday.
  • On Thursday at 20:30, the following data will be released: Canada's Q1 current account, the US initial jobless claims for the week ending May 23, the US April core PCE price index year-on-year, the US April personal spending month-on-month, the revised US Q1 annualized real GDP quarter-on-quarter rate, the US April core PCE price index month-on-month, and the US April durable goods orders month-on-month.
  • At 20:55 on Thursday, Williams, a permanent voting member of the FOMC and president of the New York Federal Reserve, delivered a keynote speech at a conference co-organized by the Central Bank of Iceland.
  • At 00:00 on Friday, the following data will be released: U.S. EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending May 22, U.S. EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending May 22, and U.S. EIA strategic petroleum reserves for the week ending May 22.
  • At 07:30 on Friday, Japan's April unemployment rate will be released.
  • At 14:45 on Friday, the preliminary value of France's May CPI month-on-month rate and the final value of France's first quarter GDP year-on-year rate will be released.
  • At 15:55 on Friday, the seasonally adjusted unemployment figures for Germany in May and the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for Germany in May will be released.
  • At 20:00 on Friday, the preliminary reading of Germany's May CPI month-on-month rate will be released.
  • Friday at 20:30, Canada's March GDP month-on-month rate;
  • Federal Reserve Governor Bowman will speak at 21:10 on Friday.
  • The US Chicago PMI data for May will be released at 21:45 on Friday.

As investors face an increasingly challenging backdrop of soaring inflation and rising Treasury yields, the surging U.S. stock market may face volatility in the final days of corporate earnings season. Several major U.S. retailers, including Costco, Best Buy, and Dollar Tree, will release earnings reports in the coming week, and investors are looking for signs that high gasoline prices may be eroding other consumer spending. On Monday (May 25), U.S. stock markets were closed for Memorial Day. Trading in CME Group's precious metals and U.S. crude oil futures contracts was suspended at 02:30 Beijing time on May 26, while trading in U.S. stock and U.S. Treasury futures contracts was suspended at 01:00 Beijing time on May 26. Trading in ICE Brent crude oil futures contracts ended earlier at 01:30 Beijing time on May 26.

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Author: PA一线

This content is for market information only and is not investment advice.

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