
📉 My painful experience in the first bull market:
I made $150,000 in my first bull market, but I didn't cash out in time.
Then the bear market came and my assets shrank to $12,000, almost to zero.
That’s when I realized:
Profits make people blind, and human nature is most vulnerable at the top.
When you see an asset going up, you create an illusion: “It will go up further, I can’t sell it.”
As a result, the price of waiting is returning to square one.
📊 All markets have peaks, all cycles end
This bull market started in early 2024 and has been running for 15 months now (June 2025).
Let’s compare history:
2013: 9 million calls; 38 million puts.
2017: 10 million calls; 33 million puts.
2021: 12 million calls; 27 million puts.
It can be seen that the duration of each bull market is gradually increasing, while the bear market is shortening and milder.
But no matter what, the top is never absent.

📌 The surprising pattern of Bitcoin top time
In each cycle, Bitcoin always hits an all-time high at the end of the year:
2013: $1,242 (November 29)
2017: $19,891 (December 17)
2021: $69,000 (November 10)
This time, from November to December 2025, it is very likely to reach its historical high again.

🧬 The current market structure is strikingly similar to that of 2021
We are currently in a typical "golden cross false drop" stage -
BTC seems weak, but in fact it is brewing the final wave of major uptrend.
This is a typical "final wash before the main uptrend."
Roadmap of what might happen next:
BTC Golden Cross →
All Time High →
BTC dominance rate drops (capital flows to alts) →
BTC peaks →
Altseason, which will last until the end of Q4 in 2025
🎯 Why did I choose to clear my position instead of continuing to “strive for higher prices”?
The final rise of each bull market is extremely irrational, and it is impossible to accurately predict the top.
It is more realistic to exit the altcoin market in time during its climax than to dream of selling at the highest point.
Data shows that if you don’t stop at taking profits, you will eventually “return” the profits to the market
✅ Summary and conclusion:
The bull market has been running for 15 months and is entering its final stage
Historical patterns point to Q4 2025 as the peak of BTC, followed by the peak of altcoins
Without an exit strategy in advance, 99% of investors will eventually fail to keep their gains
Never overestimate your own judgment, and never underestimate human greed.
Choosing to cash out in advance is the greatest respect for profits;
Choosing to wait for the extreme peak is the most dangerous gamble on fate.
