PANews reported on April 12th that crypto analyst Murphy published an article on the X platform stating that short-term Bitcoin trading is currently extremely difficult. For most investors, a consistent dollar-cost averaging strategy over the next six months is likely a better approach, with a near 100% success rate. He emphasized the importance of strictly distinguishing between investing and trading. Murphy revealed that he only made four trades in the past two months, with three profitable and one losing trade. His most recent trade involved establishing positions in batches at $71,500 and $73,000, with an average cost of $72,300, using 5x leverage. He exited the trade after hitting his stop-loss order during market volatility. Therefore, avoiding holding losing positions and relying on luck is crucial, as it can easily lead to a pattern of small profits followed by large losses. Decisions should be based on long-term trends, and short-term trading requires strict discipline. The core of analysis should be serving the trading process, not emotional speculation.