PANews reported on April 26 that, according to CNN, the U.S. Department of Justice has indicted U.S. Special Forces soldier Gannon Ken Van Dyke, accusing him of illegally profiting over $400,000 by using classified intelligence to bet on a U.S. attack on Venezuela on the prediction market platform Polymarket. Trump previously commented on betting on war-related events, stating that the current global situation is "a bit like a casino," suggesting that some market trading may have deviated from normal investment logic, relying instead on information asymmetry or even insider information. He also emphasized that he "has never been a staunch supporter of these prediction platforms."

However, Trump appears to have shifted his stance on the matter. Upon learning that the soldier had bet on Maduro's downfall, Trump immediately compared it to baseball legend Pete Rose betting on his own team to win, responding dismissively, "It's like Rose betting on his own team to win. If he bet on himself to lose, that would be bad, but he bet on himself to win, and I'll investigate." Furthermore, given Trump's support for Rose, at least several Trump allies have indicated that Trump should pardon the soldier.