With even MicroStrategy facing scrutiny, does Bitcoin Treasury have a future?

  • MicroStrategy, a major corporate holder of Bitcoin, is reportedly facing removal from global index funds, potentially triggering an $8.8 billion outflow and negatively impacting Bitcoin's price.
  • The future of the Bitcoin Treasury model (DAT) is evolving beyond simply borrowing money to buy tokens; it now involves binding traditional companies to the token's ecosystem.
  • To reignite market capitalization premiums, companies are actively building the Bitcoin ecosystem, which is proving more sustainable than merely accumulating more BTC.
  • Key strategies for these companies include:
    • Breaking the vicious cycle of pure holding by building additional engines for growth, creating technological barriers, and new narratives.
    • Converting idle BTC holdings and computing power into active income streams, such as by renting HPC resources to AI companies, generating USD revenue and an additional valuation premium.
    • Seizing new narrative cycles within the Bitcoin ecosystem (e.g., Ordinals, Bitcoin Layer 2, BTCFi) to attract investor premiums.
  • The valuation logic is shifting from a closed-loop capital game to a model based on BTC holdings plus ecosystem project portfolios and external developer/capital inflows, creating sustainable platform value.
  • The market is skeptical that simply hoarding coins can maintain a premium; sustainable value will come from transforming Bitcoin into a living, yield-generating ecosystem.
Summary

Author: Yue Xiaoyu

Recently, Bitcoin Treasury's micro-strategy is reportedly being removed from global index funds. This could mean an outflow of $8.8 billion, a significant blow to Bitcoin's price. So, what does the future hold for Bitcoin Treasury? What is the future of the DAT model?

The DAT model is not just about traditional companies borrowing money to buy tokens. More importantly, it binds the interests of traditional companies to the ecosystem of this token.

Contrary to popular belief, many Bitcoin treasury companies are already actively building the Bitcoin ecosystem. Proactively constructing a Bitcoin ecosystem is currently one of the few reliable paths to reignite the market capitalization premium of Bitcoin (BTC) companies. In times of market downturn, this approach can create a more sustainable premium than foolishly hoarding more BTC. The market has already proven this with real money. A table here lists the ecosystem development progress of some mainstream Bitcoin treasury companies.

Break the vicious cycle of pure holding

For companies that hoard cryptocurrency, as long as BTC doesn't rise or their financing channels are blocked, CPS (Cost Per Sale) will stop rising and the price will inevitably drop to zero. Building an ecosystem is essentially giving yourself a second or even third engine, allowing you to supplement your portfolio, create technological barriers, and generate new growth narratives.

Turn dead assets into active income

For example, Hut 8, Core Scientific, and Bitdeer convert their BTC holdings and computing power into HPC resources that can be rented to large model companies such as OpenAI and xAI, generating an annualized return of 8-15% and directly generating USD revenue. The market's valuation logic has become: BTC holdings (1.0x) + appreciation gains (an additional 0.5-1.0x premium).

Seize the new narrative cycle

In fact, the Bitcoin ecosystem still supports new narratives, from the initial ordinal protocol to later Bitcoin Layer 2, BTCFi, and so on. As long as companies are willing to invest money, teams, and branding to become the leading listed companies in this new round, retail and institutional investors are willing to give them a 2-3 times premium. MARU and the Blockchain Group are typical examples.

From a capital game to an open platform

The original logic: Premium → Increased issuance → Buying BTC → Pushing up stock price (closed-loop, reflexive, extremely fragile) The current logic: BTC holdings + ecosystem project portfolio + external developer/capital inflows → Platform value → Sustainable premium

To summarize

The market is increasingly skeptical that simply hoarding coins can maintain a premium.

The only companies that can truly reignite mNAV are those that transform Bitcoin from dead gold into a living ecosystem. Whoever first turns their BTC holdings into a yield-generating asset will be able to once again capture a sustainable premium.

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Author: 岳小鱼

This article represents the views of PANews columnist and does not represent PANews' position or legal liability.

The article and opinions do not constitute investment advice

Image source: 岳小鱼. Please contact the author for removal if there is infringement.

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