📉 Why do you feel like you “missed out” on the market?
Bitcoin ($BTC) has indeed broken through its all-time high several times
BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance Rate) is approaching all-time highs
The market is full of the sentiment that "crypto is about to explode"
But the reality is: except for a very small number of blue chips, 99% of altcoins are still at low levels or even breaking even.
This is a typical historical trap and may also be the biggest "illusion" in the current market.
🔍 Why is BTC so popular? The market structure has changed fundamentally
In the past few cycles, Altseason often appears when BTC's rally ends and funds begin to rotate to altcoins. But this time, the logic has changed:
✅ 1. The global trend of Bitcoin adoption forms a “funding black hole”
Many governments have begun to "invest in Bitcoin" into their treasury
The concept of US dollar bitcoin reserve has become a reality
Companies and institutions inject hundreds of millions of dollars into buying BTC every day
All this results in: funds only flow into BTC, and no one is interested in altcoins.
✅ 2. BTC Dominance is at a high level and has not reversed
The dominance rate has not yet peaked, indicating that large funds have not yet rotated
The OTHERS/BTC chart shows that the market capitalization of altcoins is still at the starting point of 2021
The vast majority of funds are still locked in BTC
✅ 3. The continuous unlocking of altcoins creates selling pressure on retail investors
New coins are constantly launched, and the unlocking volume continues to drop
Retail funds are simply unable to take over
Most altcoins are unable to form an upward trend
📈 So, when does Altseason actually begin?
From the perspective of cycle theory, each round of altcoin bull market has a similar trigger path:
Bitcoin has peaked or is overheated
Bitcoin price is too high, new funds turn to cheaper altcoins
Strong narratives emerge in the market: such as AI Chain, Real World Assets, ZK Chain, etc.
BTC.D falls rapidly
Liquidity begins to shift from BTC to high-potential altcoins
Once this chain effect is triggered, the Altseason outbreak will occur in a very short time.
If history is any guide, the altcoin bull run peaks about 546 days after the Bitcoin halving — that is, in the fall of 2025.
🎯 Before this, how should we plan?
If you’re already feeling the pinch on altcoins, you’re not alone.
Because most people currently make a mistake: going all-in on counterfeiting too early.
But this doesn’t mean you are wrong, but rather that you entered the market too early.
Now is the critical stage to do homework, screen good projects, and gradually build positions:
Choose altcoins with real use cases and narratives
Ignore shell projects with no users and no financial support
Pay attention to the emerging new narratives (such as AI, on-chain data, Middle East chain, RWA)
Remember: the "buy any coin and it will go up" in 2021 is over. In 2025, it will be about who can understand the trend and choose the right direction earlier.
Conclusion: The current market belongs to BTC, and the future market will belong to those who know how to wait
✳ Current status:
BTC is the main battlefield between institutions and countries
Altcoins are still fluctuating at the bottom
Altseason has not started yet, and it hasn’t even started yet.
✅ Future trends:
BTC will eventually become “too expensive” and cause funds to shift
The altcoin sector will explode quickly after BTC peaks
The overall cycle is likely to reach its climax in the fall of 2025
