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CryptoPunk
专注于一级市场和空投的研究
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手续费比本金还多-我用五年回测,拆穿了ICT银弹交易策略的神话
五年回测,1295 笔交易。 本金从 10,000 美元跌到 0.01 美元。 而手续费,却交了 17,000 美元以上。 这不是遇到极端行情,而是一套被无数博主称为“提款机”的策略——ICT Silver Bullet(银弹)。通过对 BTC/USDT 长达五年的鲁棒性压力测试,我们发现,这枚在讲故事时无坚不摧的“银弹”,在真实的交易摩擦面前,成了收割散户最狠的协议。
CryptoPunk
02/01/2026, 06:57 AM
为什么止损如此反人性:卡尼曼早就给过答案
别再谈什么技术分析、宏观经济了。你之所以还是那个被收割的“流动性”,根本原因只有一个: 你在盈利时胆小如鼠,却在亏损时视死如归。
CryptoPunk
01/21/2026, 02:00 PM
MACD真实回测:技术指标能带你盈利吗?
MACD被广泛用于BTC交易,但“看起来有效”是否等于“长期有效”?
CryptoPunk
01/17/2026, 08:36 AM
BTC定投加杠杆,真的更赚钱吗?
在过去五年的回测中,BTC 三倍杠杆定投的最终收益只比两倍杠杆多 3.5%,却付出了 接近归零的风险代价。 如果从风险、收益与可执行性综合来看——现货定投,反而是长期最优解;2x 是极限;3x 并不值得。
CryptoPunk
01/15/2026, 12:30 AM
手续费如何决定交易的生死?一次真实策略回测的启示
在高频交易中,手续费不仅仅是成本,更是决定生死的胜负手。
CryptoPunk
01/12/2026, 05:30 AM
比特币挖矿已成过去式,AI才是新风口?
截至2025年12月19日,全球数字资产矿业板块正经历自比特币诞生以来最为深刻的结构性变革。随着比特币价格在2025年10月创下约12.5万美元的历史新高后回调至8.6万美元区间,以及全网算力突破1,000 EH/s大关,矿企面临着"后减半时代"利润率压缩与资本支出激增的双重考验。
CryptoPunk
12/22/2025, 04:00 AM
Sign, a project favored by traditional VCs
Sign Protocol is a full-chain authentication protocol that is committed to allowing users to freely verify and authenticate any information on the chain. In this era of information explosion and scarce trust, Sign Protocol provides a set of tools, infrastructure, and standards that allow us to no longer just "trust" but "verify" all claims and statements.
CryptoPunk
05/11/2025, 07:14 AM
Mubarak (MUBARAK) Project Research Report
Project Origin and Market Performance Mubarak (MUBARAK) was issued on the BSC chain on March 16. Its name means "blessing" or "blessed" in Arabic, which has a beautiful meaning. After its launch, MUBARAK quickly attracted market attention and its price soared in a short period of time. As of now, the price of MUBARAK is $0.04068783, with the highest price of the day being $0.04204616 and the lowest price being $0.03736798, up $0.00171 from the previous trading day, an increase of 4.391%.
CryptoPunk
04/06/2025, 05:27 PM
Credit spreads soar, is Bitcoin decoupling from traditional financial markets?
Last week, the bond market sent a strong signal: 📈 The IEI/HYG credit spread ratio soared to the largest level since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in 2023. According to historical experience, this often indicates: liquidity contraction and rising risk aversion; risk assets (including Bitcoin) usually go down. But this time is different - Bitcoin did not fall synchronously, but showed a resilient trend.
CryptoPunk
04/06/2025, 04:06 PM
In-depth analysis of major platform coins: Is it a value investment or a flash in the pan?
In-depth analysis of major platform coins: Is it a value investment or a flash in the pan?
CryptoPunk
02/11/2025, 12:58 PM
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