Experts: A temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran faces multiple practical obstacles.

PANews reported on April 6th, citing CCTV News, that Li Zixin, assistant researcher at the China Institute of International Studies, stated that while a temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran is not impossible given the current situation, it faces numerous difficulties. Even if one is reached, it is more likely to be a stopgap measure than a reliable path to a permanent ceasefire. Firstly, the core demands of both sides are irreconcilable. Iran considers control of the Strait of Hormuz and its stockpile of 60% enriched uranium as its core strategic bargaining chips and has clearly stated that it will not relinquish these fundamental interests for a short-term ceasefire. The US, on the other hand, demands that Iran reopen the Strait and handle its nuclear materials, essentially demanding unilateral concessions from Iran in exchange for short-term actions that would compromise its core interests—a move that touches upon Iran's sovereignty and security bottom line. Secondly, the foundation of trust in the negotiations is extremely weak. While Iran acknowledges exchanging relevant information with the US through friendly countries, it denies engaging in direct negotiations. While sending signals for negotiations, US President Trump continued to issue "ultimatums" for military strikes. This "fight while negotiating" approach is closer to a strategy of applying maximum pressure and testing the other side's room for compromise than a genuine pursuit of reconciliation.

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Author: PA一线

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