PANews reported on April 10th that, according to BIT analysis, the ceasefire announcement, rising inflationary pressures, and the anticipated transition of the Federal Reserve Chair all contributed to a potentially significant market volatility. However, Bitcoin's overall reaction remained relatively limited. The market's muted response to the convergence of multiple variables warrants attention. Geopolitically, the ceasefire agreement reached under Trump's impetus remains highly uncertain in its practical implementation. Iran's influence in the Strait of Hormuz remains strong, with related shipping traffic significantly lower than normal.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is clearly in oversold territory, and some indicators are beginning to show signs of recovery. However, it's premature to conclude that the downtrend has ended based solely on these signals. A similar oversold condition persisted for several months in 2022, during which a rebound signal appeared, but ultimately failed to materialize. More important than whether indicators rebound is to pay attention to which price level will trigger a market repricing, and the outcome of two key events next week.