🚨 1️⃣ It’s not that you rushed in early, but that you can’t get out

Reviewing each bull market:

2017: Shanzhai took off in June, peaked in December → then crashed

2021: BTC reaches two highs in April and November → followed by a year-round bear market

📉 The top often appears when you think that the "market has just started".

When the real crash comes, you only have a few days to react.

⏳ 2️⃣ Why August 2025?

I expect the peak of the altcoin market to be between June and July:

• Memecoin 30x Start

• L2 sector comprehensive re-rating

• The NFT recovery narrative is back

✅ When all these have appeared, the market will enter a stage of extreme greed + irrational sprint

And August is the "cooling-off window" for me to gradually exit the market.

📉 3️⃣ The crash after each bull market is worse than you think

• 95% of altcoins plummeted by 90–99%

• Project owners run away, DEX clears liquidity, and exchanges shut down

• Frequent hacking incidents, stablecoin depegging, and wallet phishing

🔥 Those who fail to plan ahead can only watch their accounts drop to zero in the end.

🧪 4️⃣ My three top judgment indicators:

• MVRV: Valuation Excess Indicator

• NUPL: Market overall floating profit rate

• SOPR: On-chain profit-taking pressure monitoring

📊 These indicators have successfully provided early warnings in both 2017 and 2021. They do not require "precise escape from the top", but are enough to allow you to exit the market one step ahead of others.

💰 5️⃣ Bull market profits = income, not an illusion

Book profit ≠ already pocketed

Many people went from making millions in profits to losing everything overnight in a sudden market crash.

✅ So I treat bull market profits as income, not fantasy lottery.

📦 6️⃣ My exit plan (three steps):

1️⃣ Start selling in batches when the mood is at its most enthusiastic

2️⃣ Switch funds to: stablecoins + real assets

3️⃣ Don’t be greedy for the last wave of pumps and don’t look back at the market

It's not fear, it's discipline.

🔐 7️⃣ Safety line = the ultimate guarantee for bull market profits

• Cold wallets are placed in the main warehouse (such as Ledger/Keystone)

• Hot wallet is limited to airdrop + experimental projects

• Beware of fake links/fake contracts/fake NFT airdrops

• Regularly cancel authorization and monitor abnormal transaction behavior

📌 The most dangerous moment in a bull market is not when it falls, but when you are most relaxed.

🧾 8️⃣ Asset allocation suggestions for the exit phase:

Don’t go all in on copycats at the end of the bull market! My advice:

🟢 30%: Stablecoins ( USDC /USDT)

🟡 30%: Real assets (gold, bonds)

🔵 20%: Low-risk financial management (structured strategy)

🔴 20%: Growth crypto assets (high-quality new narratives)

📌 The goal is to maintain the victory, not to fight for the final blow.

✅ Conclusion: It is difficult to earn several times, and it is even more difficult to "hold on to earn"

• You don't need to sell at the top.

• All you need to do is stay awake when others are going crazy and leave the market before the market plummets.

📌 A bull market is not about who can run faster, but about who can get off smoothly.

In August 2025, I will no longer bet that "it will continue to rise". I will reap the fruits of my labor and leave quietly.

Only by writing the script in advance can you get out of the cycle game safely.