BIT交易时刻
每周一、周三、周五,聚焦加密货币、美股与亚太市场,用数据复盘市场、用趋势把握先机,由PANews出品,并由BIT独家冠名。
487Followers270Articles
BIT Trading Moment: BTC Breaks Down After Regulatory Headwinds, Market Focuses on Tonight's Fed Interest Rate Decision
Short-term positions are being panic-sold. If BTC completely loses the $74,000 level, the core support below will directly point to $68,000 (the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders breakout). After two consecutive days of decline in U.S. stocks, sentiment in the three major stock index futures has slightly recovered. The semiconductor sector led gains in after-hours trading, with Intel up 4.84% and SK Hynix up 3.01%.BIT Trading Hour: BTC Under Pressure! 50-Week Line Hard to Breach, Plus Clarity Bill and FOMC Disturbances, US Stock Night Session Spooked by AI Slowdown
BIT sees $76,000 as a key support level; if lost, it will look toward $74,000 and $72,500. US stock three major index futures collectively weakened, with Nasdaq 100 futures falling over 1.7% at one point. The AI slowdown narrative shocked the market, with Marvell Technology falling 5.32%, SanDisk falling 5.27%, and Nvidia falling 2.06%. Circle bucked the trend and rose 1.36%.BIT Trading Moment: Traders Lower BTC Ambush Zone Ahead of CPI, High-Valuation AI Stocks Continue to Suffer?
Whether Bitcoin can hold $76,000 will determine if there is a short-term rebound, as the market awaits US CPI data to break the deadlock. If CPI runs hot and pushes the 10-year US Treasury yield above 5%, caution is needed for BTC to dip to the $74,500-$72,000 range. AI hardware trading, which was suppressed by US Treasury yields the previous night, has temporarily stabilized; Oracle rose 5.50% in after-hours trading, while oil prices fell nearly 2%.$40.8 Billion in Options "Imprison" BTC Between $78,000 and $81,000, 74% Long-Term Holdings Suppress Deep Decline
Bitcoin volatility narrows, 50-day moving average crosses above 200-day moving average again since November, options market locks in the $78,000 to $81,000 range, BTC rebounds after falling below $78,000, long-term holder position ratio exceeds 74% suppressing the risk of a deep decline to $30,000. Overnight funds in US stocks first return to chips and storage, crypto stocks strengthen, as Zcash price hits a new all-time high, Grayscale ZEC ETF surges 7.5% overnight. Additionally, Nvidia appears at Goldman Sachs conference, Apple launch event, and US Treasury buybacks attract attention.BIT交易时刻: Bitcoin Retreats to 77,000, Can the 50- and 200-Day MA Golden Cross Break Through Amid CPI?
BIT points out that the 'golden cross' formed by Bitcoin's 50-day and 200-day moving averages is expected to appear on September 11, coinciding with the release of August CPI. If CPI is moderate, Bitcoin may turn $80,000 into support; if CPI is hot, caution is needed for a pullback to the $72,000 to $74,000 range.BIT Trading Moment: BTC Falls into September Slump, Wintermute Bets on Continued Volatility Ahead of FOMC
Global risk assets enter the 'September slump', Bitcoin volatility intensifies, bulls and bears battle around the key support of $77,000. US stocks pull back across the board, oil prices break $90, US Treasury yields surge, Dell jumps 10% in after-hours trading; Asia-Pacific stocks broadly decline, HSBC chief economist believes the current Asia has similarities to the 1997 financial crisis.BIT Trading Moment: Bitcoin Chops Around, Resistance Wall, Macro and Historical Patterns Warn September Downside Risk Remains
Bitcoin's key moving average battle begins. After surging over 24% in August, September's direction is divided, with bulls and bears focusing on the $81,000 50-week moving average. Institutions warn of seasonal pressure and rate hike risks. A break above $83,000 is needed to confirm bullish structure, with $77,000 as key near-term support. Meanwhile, US chip stocks stumble while cloud software strengthens, and overnight US chip and crypto stocks attempt to recover.BIT Trading Moment: BTC Tests 50-Week Moving Average Twice and Pulls Back Both Times, Sell Wall and Options Expiry Collide with Warsh's Jackson Hole Debut, Is a Breakout Imminent?
If Bitcoin breaks above $82,000 with volume and holds the 50-week moving average, it could drive further upside. With the Jackson Hole meeting approaching, Bitcoin's consolidation range is unlikely to last much longer.
In U.S. after-hours trading, market sentiment turned cautious due to profit-taking following the AI rally driven by Nvidia's earnings. The AI sector was broadly under pressure, with Marvell Technology plunging 8.8%, and Nvidia, Micron Technology, and Intel all declining to varying degrees. Additionally, PayPal fell 14.17% on reports of a failed acquisition, and IREN dropped 8.54% due to high capital expenditure plans.BIT Trading Moment: BTC Blocked by May High and 50-Week Moving Average, Failing to Hold Above 83,000 Will Remain in a Bear Market
Bitcoin is having its strongest August since 2017, with a monthly gain of over 25%. Traders are watching the resistance zone of $80,800 to $83,000 and the support zone of $75,000 to $79,000. Analysts caution that historically, after a 'green August', September often sees pullbacks, while October tends to perform strongly. In U.S. stocks, affected by Nvidia's earnings report, the three major stock index futures fluctuated slightly, with storage and optical communication sector stocks that surged yesterday hovering within a 1% range. Asian stock markets all closed higher today, with the A-share non-ferrous metals sector stimulated by copper prices hitting a new high, and Jiangxi Copper, Baiyin Nonferrous and others hitting their daily limit.BIT Trading Moment: Probability of BTC Hitting $90,000 by Year-End Soars, Coinbase Ends 97-Day Negative Premium, Institutions Quietly Reducing AI Positions
Bitcoin posted its strongest weekly performance since March 2023, breaking above its 200-day moving average for the first time since November 2025. After the $79,000–$80,000 sell wall above is absorbed, it may move further upward. U.S. stocks came under broad pressure in overnight trading, the AI sector was sold off collectively; Citadel cut its semiconductor exposure by more than 80%, and Michael Burry, the 'Big Short' investor, said he sold Alibaba and rotated into JD.com.BIT Trading Moment: BTC head-and-shoulders bottom breakout fulfilled 77,000 target, market shouts 'bear market is over', Strategy led gains in US stock after-hours trading
Bitcoin surged over 23% in 5 days, the head-and-shoulders bottom pattern was fulfilled, and whether the weekly chart can hold above 72,000 to 75,000 becomes key for the market outlook; bulls hope BTC can hold the 66,000 neckline support. US stock futures for the three major indexes rebounded, and AI and crypto concept stocks extended gains in after-hours trading.BIT Trading Moment: BTC Buying Recovers but Bearish Sentiment Remains Strong, 50-Month EMA Hard to Break Through, SK Hynix Attempts to Stabilize Memory
Bitcoin returned to $65,000 yesterday. On-chain buying has warmed up, but downside risk has not diminished. BIT says there is still about 20% downside risk in the short term. Current resistance above Bitcoin is concentrated around the 50-month exponential moving average near approximately $65,400, as well as the potential neckline area of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. In the early morning of August 20, focus on the Federal Reserve meeting minutes and the U.S. 20-year Treasury bond auction. Unitree Robotics surged on its listing, but the robotics sector generally fell.BIT Trading Moment: BTC Weekly Close Falls Below 200 Moving Average Again, Highly Consistent with Summer 2022, US Stocks Night Session collectively Strengthen
Bitcoin lost the 200-week moving average, historical cycles repeat, the bottom has not yet arrived, BIT believes that before BTC regains $65,000, all rebounds should be regarded as range repair. US stocks rose collectively in night session, storage, optical communication and AI infrastructure are still the focus of capital chasing. ChangXin Technology rose 12% to hit a new high since listing, and Yushu Technology on Hyperliquid approached $100.BIT Trading Moment: BTC falls for 6 consecutive days and loses the daily trend line, beware of 20% crash risk
Most traders view $62,500 as key support, and this consolidation may see a directional choice by next week at the latest; Circle continues to recover, having rebounded about 30% from the low of $57.8 on August 3; South Korea ended a seven-week losing streak, market closed on August 17; Japan surged to 68,000 points, Hong Kong's AI sector suffered heavy losses.
