全球地缘分裂时代的金融风暴

全球地缘分裂时代的金融风暴

全球地缘局势动荡不安，金融市场激起巨浪，资产定价与预测逻辑正被重构。

41 articles
Iranian missiles hit Dubai: Three Chinese people recount these 48 hours
Iranian missiles struck Dubai, setting fire to the Burj Al Arab hotel and paralyzing the airport.
区块律动BlockBeats
When life becomes odds: Prediction markets are becoming the digital battlefield of postmodern warfare.
The prediction market saw a surge in trading volume, allowing insider players to easily profit millions of dollars.
Foresight News
Why do institutional funds always follow the same path in the face of geopolitical conflicts?
The Wall Street "war profit" script: three steps to exploit your panic.
深潮TechFlow
中东地缘巨震：从期权数据透视避险资金流向与BTC定价逻辑
本文从量化交易视角解析了中东地缘黑天鹅事件对加密市场的影响。虽然机构的长线看涨底仓并未动摇，但是短期市场面临宽幅震荡与去杠杆风险，地缘动荡将加速宏观资金对BTC的战略配置。
Max.S
Unveiling the first high-level assassination operation led by AI: How did Claude and Palantir kill Khamenei?
In war, AI is no longer an auxiliary tool; it has become the true decision-maker, tracker, and executor.
PA荐读
Analysis of Four Scenarios in the Crude Oil Market Amid the Iranian Situation
The US-Iran conflict has pushed up the risk premium for crude oil. MS analyzes four scenarios—from risk fading to shipping disruptions—to reveal oil price trends. Core forecasts indicate that without supply disruptions, Brent crude oil prices may fall back to the mid-to-low range of $60.
见微知著杂谈
JPMorgan Chase: Bullish on gold and copper, bearish on energy; the market has split into two worlds after the crash.
The sharp drop in commodity prices is not a trend reversal, but rather a healthy "major shakeout".
见微知著杂谈
Cryptocurrency markets suffered a single-day liquidation of $2.2 billion, following gold and silver in experiencing a "Black Sunday."
Bitcoin fell below $76,000, triggering a $2.2 billion liquidation in the cryptocurrency market in a single day, with whales being liquidated. Geopolitical risks and tightening regulations exacerbated panic, casting doubt on Bitcoin's fundamental value and forcing a major industry reshuffle.
Foresight News
Gold and silver experienced a "Black Friday," while the US dollar staged a dramatic comeback.
On January 30, global financial markets experienced a major shock: gold and silver prices plummeted by more than 30% and 9% respectively, while the US dollar surged. This was due to Trump's nomination of hawkish Warsh as Federal Reserve Chairman, which triggered expectations of a policy shift. Coupled with market overbuying, this led to a major asset restructuring.
比推BitPush
Safe-haven funds repricing: The logic behind gold's strength and Bitcoin's divergence
Volatility is rising in tandem, and the risk of a short-term correction is beginning to emerge.
137Labs
A Wall Street guru, ECB president, and historian engage in a heated debate: Will "AI, tariffs, and geopolitics" drag the world toward the "1930s"?
The most pessimistic room in Davos: When Fink, Griffin, and Lagarde gathered together, they saw the shadow of 1929.
华尔街见闻
伊朗的 “去美元化” 之路：当武器开始用加密货币结算
当一个国家开始接受用加密货币支付武器订单时，加密资产就已经不再是 “金融创新” 或 “灰色工具” 的问题了，而是被正式纳入国家生存与对外博弈体系。
Conflux
特朗普会不会对伊朗动武？这将如何影响比特币？
美伊紧张局势的升温推动传统避险资产升至历史新高，并将比特币推高至接近 97,000 美元，凸显出地缘政治风险正在被系统性地计入各类宏观资产的定价之中。
CoinRank
伊朗数字封锁实录：当银行停摆，USDT成了唯一的活钱
近期，伊朗再次成为关注焦点。在全国性抗议的背景下，伊朗政府于1月8日晚实施了大范围互联网与通信管控措施。当晚伊朗对外网络连接在数小时内大幅度下降，移动数据与固定宽带服务在多数地区出现中断。
CoinW研究院专栏
The biggest trade theme in 2026: Trump's "can't-lose" mentality and the end of the international order.
Senior analyst David Woo believes that facing immense pressure from the midterm elections, the Trump administration is demonstrating its determination to reverse the situation at all costs, which will be bearish for crude oil. Meanwhile, the Venezuelan crisis marks the substantial end of the post-war rules-based international order. This provides strong support for gold and benefits the defense industry. Conversely, emerging market stocks will face the risk of valuation reassessment, as the safety premium of smaller economies will disappear in an era of returning power politics.
华尔街见闻
黄金价格飙升的原因：央行、制裁和信任
黄金的历史性上涨反映出全球对美元资产的信任度正在下降。重塑储备策略的并非通胀，而是央行的资金积累和制裁风险。
CoinRank
委内瑞拉600亿比特币影子储备是真是假？
是否有更多的主权国家在悄悄积累比特币？
CoinW研究院专栏
Arthur Hayes' latest article: Trump will unleash a crazy money-printing machine after "colonizing" Venezuela; PUMP suffered the biggest loss last year.
"As the amount of US dollars expands, the prices of Bitcoin and certain cryptocurrencies will skyrocket. Remember to stay away from Meme coins; the only Meme coin that made money last year was Trump's."
Yuliya
提款机的轰鸣：从委内瑞拉“神级下注”看Polymarket的内幕困局
真相的代价：为什么Polymarket越“脏”，它的预言就越准？
BlockWeeks
美国「闪捕」马杜罗，请收下这份地缘动荡下的投资指南
炮火之下无新事，「唐罗主义」如真能「暴力重置」委内瑞拉，哪些军工、能源等版块标的将收割超额红利？
MSX 研究院