PANews reported on June 25, citing The Block, that two polls commissioned by the Prediction Market Coalition show that both Republican and Democratic voters in the U.S. prefer a unified federal regulatory framework for prediction markets rather than a patchwork of state-by-state rules. In the Republican poll, 48% support a federal framework and 27% favor state-level regulation; in the Democratic poll, 45% back federal rules and 35% support state-level regulation. Only 8% of respondents believe prediction markets should be illegal. Most voters say consumers should have the right to choose whether to participate. Among voters under 35, more than half have already used or are interested in prediction markets.
The polls were released amid an ongoing jurisdictional tug-of-war between the CFTC and platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket on one side, and individual states on the other. On Tuesday, Kalshi sued over a new Illinois law, and the same day the CFTC sued Kentucky. The CFTC chairman asserts federal "exclusive jurisdiction," while states argue that sports event contracts violate local gambling laws. Sports law attorney Daniel Wallach criticized the polls for omitting the central dispute over sports betting, saying that disguising sports betting as "trading" is the essence of the clash between states and prediction markets.



